Johan Kriek’s Wimbledon 2013 draw analysis and his picks

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“Today starts the quest for one in 128 to win Wimbledon, the most coveted title of them all! After studying both men’s and women’s draws here are some observations and a few of my own predictions.
As usual, the Wimbledon committee took the ATP ranking list and plugged the guys in. It used to be a very hotly debated issue during my days there whereby the Wimbledon committee used their own “ideas” to seed players according to how they “felt” what kind of player deserved to be higher seed although the ranking my not reflect it. Not this year….

The bottom half of the draw is very heavily laden with greats. Murray as second seed is there, Roger Federer as number three seed and Nadal as number 5 seed. I hate to bet against Nadal but I expect to see Roger Federer pull another “rabbit” out of his bag and win Wimbledon for a record 8th time. Nadal has had an incredible season so far, beyond what even he expected to happen after his 7-month lay off from knee problems but Roger is just a different player on grass. Murray is definitely a better player and has raised his game since winning the US Open last year and the Olympic gold, but he still gets very jittery at Wimbledon.

Looking deeper into the bottom half of the draw, I see Isner, Wawrinka, Hewitt, Janowicz, Almagro, Tsonga and a couple of “dark horses” like Benneteau who can cause some damage. Janowicz could sow carnage if he hits his stride….

Isner/Wawrinka in an epic most likely in the third round. I expect Wawrinka to win. I expect Nadal vs Wawrinka in the round of 16. Nadal in 5 sets. So Nadal through to the quarters to be stopped by Roger Federer in 5 sets.

Benneteau is older, but very wise. He can play well on any surface. If Tsonga blinks or goes and buys a Pimms and Lemonade, he could be on the train in the Chunnell to Paris in the third round. I pick Benneteau as my dark horse in that section.

Murray vs the German Benjamin Becker is no cake walk either. The German is a gritty tough player. Andy better usurp his authority early! I expect Murray vs Federer in the semis.
The top seed Djokovic should reach the semis with nary a sweat! Great fighters like Ferrer abound but not for grass. My “dark horse” here will be Tommy Haas who has played very well so far this summer to meet Djokovic in the round of 16. Haas will beat Simon on grass.

Berdych vs hard serving South-African Kevin Anderson will most likely happen in the third round, but that match is a coin toss. I expect Berdych to win though.
Number 4 seed Ferrer will fight through but I predict either Raonic or Kohlschreiber will take him out. Del Potro has not been steady as of late, so I believe Nishikori is the dark horse in that section to make it to the quarter finals. Nishikori could make the semis if Raonic and Ferrer or Del Potro “fold their tents” early.
I still think Federer will win Wimbledon this year.

On the women’s side, Serena Williams is the clear favorite to win the title by miles! It will either be Radwanska vs Willians in the semis or Li Na vs Williams. Upsets I predict. Schiavoni may upset Lisicki. Vesnina could power through that section too….
Robson could ride the British wave and upset Kirilenko, but I don’t think so. Robson has coach issues and too many distractions….

Hantuchova could upset Zakopalova. I pick Daniela on this one. She has been reinvigorated! But Li Na will come through.
Azarenka will go through to the semis and play Sharapova. I expect Wozniacki to be upset within three rounds. Sloane Stephens may have the chance to stop Wozniacki. But I don’t see too many obstacles for Azarenka to reach the semis. Dark horses will be Lepchenko and Sloan Stephens….
But Serena Williams could potentially dominate like no other woman in history…. sorry Martina!… ;)”

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Meet the Author

Johan Kriek has won two Australian Opens, was a semi-finalist at the US Open, reached the semi-finals at the French Open and the quarterfinals of Wimbledon. He has won 14 professional singles and 8 doubles titles, reaching an all-time high ranking of Number 7 in the world. Kriek’s most memorable wins include victories over Andre Agassi, Jimmy Connors, John McEnroe and Bjorn Borg.

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